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1 December 2025 With Editor DAI-2508

Do Whitepaper Claims Predict Market Behavior? Evidence from Cryptocurrency Factor Analysis

Murad Farzulla

Abstract

Do the functional purposes articulated in cryptocurrency whitepapers correspond to how markets actually price these assets? We propose a three-stage framework combining NLP with market characterization to test narrative-market alignment. A pilot on 8 cryptocurrencies yields overall congruence of 0.719 (95% CI: [0.623, 0.953]).

Suggested Citation

Murad Farzulla (2025). Do Whitepaper Claims Predict Market Behavior? Evidence from Cryptocurrency Factor Analysis. Farzulla Research Working Paper DAI-2508. DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.5918302

BibTeX

@misc{farzulla2025whitepaperfactoranalysis,
  author = {Farzulla, Murad},
  title = {Do Whitepaper Claims Predict Market Behavior? Evidence from Cryptocurrency Factor Analysis},
  year = {2025},
  howpublished = {Farzulla Research Working Paper DAI-2508},
  doi = {10.2139/ssrn.5918302},
  url = {https://farzulla.org/papers/whitepaper-factor-analysis}
}

Topics

Financial Markets Cryptocurrency Natural Language Processing